Geopolitical unrest in the Middle East and persistent inflation fears are shaking the crypto market, as investors pivot away from riskier altcoins in favor of bitcoin and stablecoins. Even as spot bitcoin ETFs see robust inflows, uncertainty around U.S. policy and Fed decisions is driving traders toward perceived safe havens.
The latest escalation in Middle East tensions has triggered a marked defensive stance across the crypto ecosystem. The prices of major altcoins, including XRP, Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL), each fell by more than 1% in the past 24 hours. Dogecoin (DOGE) showed stability on the day but remained over 10% lower for the week, erasing its early June momentum. Ethereum’s ether (ETH) also saw a modest decline, giving up gains accumulated earlier in the week. This broad pullback underscores the typical pattern where altcoins—generally considered higher risk—are the first assets abandoned during bouts of macroeconomic and geopolitical turbulence.
As concerns mount over a potential escalation in U.S. military involvement and economic headwinds, digital asset traders are reallocating capital toward safer vehicles. U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) absorbed $389 million in new inflows on Wednesday, highlighting rising demand for asset classes perceived as more resilient in times of stress. Spot ether ETFs, meanwhile, saw $19 million in fresh investments, though this figure paled in comparison. The dollar’s climb this week further reflects investors’ desire for stability as uncertainty weighs on both equities and crypto leaders.
The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged came with a warning: inflation may be more persistent than previously forecast. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that tariffs and escalating global conflicts could complicate efforts to bring down price pressures. He stressed the need for further data before contemplating a rate cut, reinforcing investors’ caution as the macro outlook remains clouded by both inflationary risks and geopolitical threats. These signals have contributed to a risk-off environment, weakening equities and commodities alongside crypto majors.
Ongoing geopolitical instability and worries about inflation are prompting a defensive move among crypto traders, who are trimming high-risk altcoin positions and favoring bitcoin and stablecoins. While bitcoin has posted impressive year-to-date gains, its behavior this week shows it straddling the line between risk asset and safe haven. With uncertainty set to continue, market participants will be closely monitoring policy decisions and international developments for signals on the next move.
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