Cardano (ADA) has seen a noticeable shift in retail mood, with data suggesting recent sellers may have handed longer-term holders a buying opportunity.
On-chain analytics firm Santiment reported ADA’s bullish-to-bearish commentary ratio slid to 1.5:1 this week — the weakest reading in about five months. That slump in positive chatter coincided with a sharp, short-lived 5% rebound in price, a combination traders often interpret as evidence that frustrated retail sellers have exhausted themselves and larger holders are stepping in.
Historically, Cardano rallies have frequently begun when retail sentiment is near its low. Santiment flagged a similar situation in mid-August when a roughly 2:1 ratio lined up with a subsequent surge. By contrast, periods of extreme optimism — including a spike to 12.8:1 earlier this summer — preceded significant pullbacks, reinforcing the idea that crowd euphoria can top markets.
Why it matters: crypto markets are highly sensitive to retail psychology. When the crowd becomes overly optimistic, momentum can push prices to unsustainable highs. When pessimism dominates, selling pressure can create accumulation opportunities for larger investors, including whales and funds. For ADA, the current divergence between weak retail sentiment and a modest price bounce suggests accumulation may be underway behind the scenes.
That said, sentiment is only one of many indicators. Traders should consider volume, on-chain flows, broader market trends (including bitcoin direction), and macro factors before interpreting this setup as a confirmed bottom.
Takeaway: The recent 1.5:1 sentiment reading and corresponding 5% bounce fit a recurring pattern where retail capitulation aligns with short-term market troughs. If larger holders are accumulating, ADA could be poised for a measured recovery — but risk remains, and market conditions can change quickly.
Source: Coindesk. Read the original coverage for full details.